Projections of service worker employment generally on target
June 18, 1999
Since the 1960s, BLS projections of service employment usually have been accurate. In each of the periods shown in the chart, actual growth in employment of service workers was within 10 percentage points of projected growth.
In two of the periods, 1968-80 and 1980-90, actual and projected growth were almost identical. The growth rates were also fairly close in the two periods beginning in 1960. The largest difference was in the 1984-95 period. Employment of service workers was projected to grow by 20 percent, when in fact it increased by 29 percent.
Data on projections are produced by the BLS Employment Projections program. Service occupations include workers in private households and in the fields of cleaning and building service, food preparation and service, health service (such as dental assistants and nursing home aides), personal service, and protective service. Find more information on the accuracy of employment projections in "The quality of BLS projections: a historical account," Monthly Labor Review, May 1999.
Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, The Economics Daily, Projections of service worker employment generally on target on the Internet at http://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/1999/jun/wk3/art05.htm (visited October 24, 2016).
Recent editions of Spotlight on Statistics
Workplace injuries and illnesses and employer costs for workers’ compensation
Workplace injury and illness data and the costs to employers for workers’ compensation in natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations.
A look at the future of the U.S. labor force to 2060
Projected long-term trends in the growth, size, and composition of the labor force.
Union membership in the United States
Historical trends in union membership among employed wage and salary workers; union membership by a variety of demographic characteristics.
A look at healthcare spending, employment, pay, benefits, and prices
Spending on healthcare, current and projected employment in the industry, employer-provided healthcare benefits, healthcare prices, and pay for workers in healthcare occupations.
Self-employment in the United States
Trends in self-employment by various demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, including both the unincorporated and the incorporated self-employed, as well as data on paid employees who work for the self-employed.