Figure 8. Difference in percent changes in employment between the baseline and alternate scenarios, by two-digit NAICS industries, 2019–29
Industry Moderate impact Strong impact

Accommodation and food services

-5.7 -10.1

Arts, entertainment, and recreation

-0.8 -5.2

Retail trade

-2.0 -4.9

Construction

-1.4 -2.8

Transportation and warehousing

-0.8 -1.9

Management of companies and enterprises

-0.6 -1.7

Real estate and rental and leasing

-0.5 -1.2

Utilities

-0.4 -1.0

Administrative and support and waste management and remediation services

-0.2 -0.8

Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting

-0.3 -0.7

Finance and insurance

-0.2 -0.4

Government

-0.1 -0.4

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction

-0.1 -0.4

Other services (except public administration)

0.0 -0.4

Wholesale trade

-0.1 -0.3

Healthcare and social assistance

0.0 -0.2

Manufacturing

0.6 -0.1

Educational services; state, local, and private

-0.1 -0.1

Information

0.8 1.2

Professional, scientific, and technical services

1.0 1.6

Note: NAICS = North American Industry Classification System.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.