Figure 1. Average annual inflation from all 512 models for overlapping 2-year time dummy models, 2009–13
Scatter graph Histogram Scatter graph Histogram

–0.20263

0.262473 2 –44.65

–0.19674

0.595942 0 –43.70

–0.09177

0.826216 0 –42.75

–0.11709

0.657454 0 –41.80

–0.07109

0.442918 0 –40.85

–0.03366

0.399037 0 –39.90

–0.04496

0.15823 0 –38.95

–0.4511

0.651544 0 –38.00

–0.29923

0.835588 1 –37.05

–0.29923

0.835588 4 –36.10

–0.17825

0.614038 1 –35.15

–0.12333

0.844077 2 –34.20

–0.16065

0.818342 3 –33.25

–0.10731

0.468608 4 –32.30

–0.11827

0.482674 2 –31.35

–0.01098

0.500607 4 –30.40

–0.44182

0.660052 7 –29.45

–0.31476

0.860625 5 –28.50

–0.12487

0.863852 3 –27.55

–0.15656

0.828523 8 –26.60

–0.13262

0.643568 4 –25.65

–0.12774

0.717855 10 –24.70

–0.03457

0.755339 9 –23.75

–0.36004

0.684391 6 –22.80

–0.29312

0.852766 10 –21.85

–0.1032

0.860295 12 –20.90

–0.08805

0.834462 21 –19.95

–0.06499

0.835896 24 –19.00

–0.04681

0.839541 29 –18.05

–0.21064

0.854568 18 –17.10

–0.20007

0.876364 18 –16.15

–0.06313

0.807374 24 –15.20

–0.12427

0.673048 21 –14.25

–0.15171

0.679079 23 –13.30

–0.31971

0.773852 32 –12.35

–0.30402

0.835878 20 –11.40

0.016613

0.655606 25 –10.45

0.069776

0.566113 22 –9.50

–0.33765

0.717066 20 –8.55

–0.24385

0.857954 25 –7.60

–0.01774

0.451963 13 –6.65

–0.36327

0.699736 20 –5.70

–0.31934

0.844425 15 –4.75

–0.36494

0.736255 10 –3.80

–0.27143

0.84969 11 –2.85

–0.23516

0.848022 8 –1.90

–0.13228

0.867214 5 –0.95

–0.15893

0.846233 2 0

–0.10703

0.669438 1 0.95

–0.12224

0.737248 2 1.90

–0.00959

0.768751 0 2.85

–0.36206

0.693563 1 3.80

–0.30771

0.863913 1 4.75

–0.10861

0.910338 1 5.70

–0.11348

0.84861 2 6.65

–0.09117

0.853719 1 7.60

–0.02452

0.888931

–0.21682

0.86325

–0.22764

0.897038

–0.10733

0.881064

–0.24318

0.879275

–0.10605

0.837991

–0.23394

0.837415

–0.26977

0.879853

–0.00294

0.678672

0.067093

0.672153

–0.34967

0.730626

–0.26338

0.88707

–0.02388

0.575557

–0.3662

0.718009

–0.34287

0.877138

–0.28563

0.790842

–0.21951

0.899196

–0.18419

0.888634

–0.10777

0.901846

–0.11761

0.866601

–0.09442

0.873511

–0.04295

0.901522

–0.16148

0.865162

–0.20313

0.889713

–0.0996

0.873527

–0.18144

0.842464

–0.10371

0.853363

–0.16888

0.831029

–0.25177

0.864073

–0.06201

0.764448

0.02166

0.793504

–0.28807

0.732753

–0.24704

0.875173

–0.05582

0.795095

–0.26406

0.741429

–0.30547

0.868128

–0.19705

0.794085

–0.20137

0.883465

–0.09533

0.892935

–0.08841

0.877524

–0.10318

0.85956

–0.07569

0.867226

–0.18121

0.875789

–0.18564

0.876977

–0.06295

0.845157

–0.02419

0.851511

–0.19683

0.858821

–0.18844

0.881695

–0.03265

0.847222

–0.17939

0.858906

–0.21114

0.87732

–0.18375

0.877213

–0.16908

0.886905

–0.18443

0.879483

–0.07823

0.816512

–0.05795

0.820647

–0.17937

0.83591

–0.21508

0.860114

–0.14278

0.688703

–0.3322

0.783527

–0.32565

0.844209

–0.31512

0.796493

–0.28155

0.851394

–0.21174

0.865837

0.060162

0.700402

–0.24721

0.7568

–0.26386

0.863357

–0.24542

0.78675

–0.19585

0.874052

–0.15798

0.87397

–0.33554

0.75971

–0.29685

0.858386

–0.26519

0.860777

–0.23613

0.853626

–0.10959

0.916343

–0.12195

0.871208

–0.09776

0.878419

–0.03216

0.917649

–0.17801

0.870549

–0.22184

0.899837

–0.11067

0.890927

–0.2385

0.883688

–0.0923

0.873575

–0.178

0.852006

–0.25738

0.882489

–0.04163

0.796892

0.042771

0.812202

–0.28758

0.750235

–0.25946

0.888587

–0.03029

0.808673

–0.24955

0.758458

–0.33639

0.876683

–0.19283

0.821211

–0.19789

0.906762

–0.11657

0.902659

–0.09545

0.921736

–0.17283

0.924954

–0.0603

0.925197

–0.13344

0.91474

–0.14916

0.917017

–0.07635

0.86082

–0.00796

0.894347

–0.20994

0.870249

–0.21339

0.907026

–0.01469

0.890572

–0.18709

0.872458

–0.24527

0.902727

–0.13578

0.912931

–0.13746

0.929949

–0.14638

0.913373

–0.19085

0.908734

–0.04864

0.898182

–0.14072

0.885091

–0.1911

0.902645

–0.19084

0.901938

–0.25316

0.886972

–0.29587

0.902552

–0.20057

0.865082

–0.21835

0.904075

–0.17652

0.909531

0.077291

0.745751

–0.24901

0.785495

–0.29445

0.892864

–0.20028

0.834568

–0.16468

0.920557

–0.14273

0.908853

–0.27959

0.804994

–0.26491

0.917707

–0.20641

0.925827

–0.14382

0.910191

–0.09314

0.909403

–0.11882

0.90611

–0.06354

0.916706

–0.0842

0.902305

–0.12572

0.902432

–0.08834

0.875989

–0.0247

0.904055

–0.15716

0.869448

–0.19197

0.896636

–0.03793

0.902966

–0.12444

0.874561

–0.20498

0.896371

–0.07913

0.902873

–0.11451

0.915313

–0.06834

0.909944

–0.12469

0.883496

–0.04973

0.892419

–0.07881

0.873832

–0.17406

0.885731

–0.12519

0.867203

–0.18975

0.843995

–0.27328

0.875282

–0.13673

0.85668

–0.19892

0.886805

–0.07589

0.908289

0.002986

0.83264

–0.19159

0.780675

–0.26226

0.884357

–0.13076

0.824326

–0.15072

0.902424

–0.05985

0.909524

–0.18003

0.817102

–0.2257

0.896435

–0.12764

0.910497

–0.06457

0.905629

–0.09331

0.877515

–0.05248

0.885033

–0.14396

0.885863

–0.14769

0.88529

–0.07474

0.866211

–0.1895

0.876828

–0.20194

0.878283

–0.17098

0.887181

–0.16802

0.887355

–0.1866

0.883216

–0.01221

0.859309

–0.16417

0.862622

–0.20027

0.882318

–0.15519

0.881489

–0.14246

0.89391

–0.15496

0.888304

–0.17324

0.87741

–0.18668

0.887671

–0.20396

0.883164

–0.16993

0.890113

–0.06533

0.82741

–0.20076

0.844756

–0.23918

0.867037

–0.17659

0.850993

–0.1893

0.873489

–0.16131

0.87752

–0.32306

0.805692

–0.30155

0.85881

–0.23877

0.874558

–0.21032

0.869346

–0.21512

0.808509

–0.21947

0.879399

–0.18993

0.882674

–0.15177

0.879824

–0.26494

0.865448

–0.09811

0.925362

–0.16693

0.926495

–0.05708

0.934376

–0.09882

0.919772

–0.13396

0.9199

–0.0823

0.88364

–0.01673

0.921599

–0.17302

0.877227

–0.20872

0.908759

–0.02595

0.917744

–0.13019

0.881123

–0.22874

0.903432

–0.08697

0.922718

–0.11944

0.935904

–0.08721

0.922777

–0.18655

0.910334

–0.04659

0.913056

–0.09989

0.892835

–0.18266

0.904332

–0.17621

0.908595

–0.23305

0.88971

–0.29641

0.902056

–0.13491

0.881481

–0.19482

0.910758

–0.10141

0.926592

0.034188

0.854657

–0.15364

0.81037

–0.28596

0.89258

–0.12768

0.854555

–0.14865

0.925999

–0.08553

0.919791

–0.17316

0.835714

–0.24994

0.919609

–0.15736

0.932002

–0.07222

0.92541

–0.15636

0.933074

–0.04264

0.93588

–0.10582

0.923267

–0.12051

0.924735

–0.13019

0.943729

–0.16681

0.930024

–0.19059

0.929423

–0.10784

0.930719

–0.11274

0.93291

–0.14634

0.919791

0.005756

0.898171

–0.17297

0.879385

–0.23046

0.909316

–0.11956

0.917013

–0.12208

0.936157

–0.12899

0.920657

–0.13349

0.913157

–0.18439

0.935647

–0.19015

0.930618

–0.11028

0.932491

–0.13767

0.929199

–0.18107

0.912004

–0.23064

0.918599

–0.10869

0.905466

–0.13944

0.923802

–0.1344

0.920416

–0.21873

0.910782

–0.24409

0.92944

–0.19932

0.935191

–0.14824

0.920834

–0.1772

0.850677

–0.21541

0.929367

–0.18699

0.931418

–0.09356

0.929783

–0.16321

0.947619

–0.10495

0.913778

–0.04384

0.92367

–0.05787

0.91

–0.09794

0.909314

–0.07788

0.920467

–0.09707

0.906619

–0.14412

0.906923

–0.05891

0.916548

–0.08837

0.917432

–0.06969

0.911674

–0.01943

0.90568

–0.11989

0.877648

–0.19703

0.901235

–0.06349

0.905387

–0.10124

0.920007

–0.05097

0.916293

–0.07488

0.904338

–0.13558

0.918758

–0.09861

0.917703

–0.04459

0.922212

–0.07198

0.902364

–0.10491

0.883794

–0.1975

0.89514

–0.0503

0.892181

–0.12269

0.905022

–0.05412

0.914881

–0.15403

0.869338

–0.22024

0.897496

–0.10626

0.921213

–0.04706

0.917757

–0.10905

0.846142

–0.17391

0.910724

–0.0954

0.92169

–0.01997

0.921893

–0.0975

0.921411

–0.05782

0.884496

–0.15645

0.887137

–0.16683

0.88661

–0.12927

0.896595

–0.12503

0.895605

–0.15108

0.891013

–0.1799

0.887839

–0.18485

0.888319

–0.20597

0.888144

–0.17575

0.890039

–0.14369

0.881767

–0.16079

0.894432

–0.17691

0.892176

–0.1341

0.898382

–0.187

0.892554

–0.19327

0.859207

–0.21182

0.879637

–0.18944

0.885171

–0.15342

0.88244

–0.23916

0.87749

–0.18237

0.887655

–0.15214

0.933638

–0.04172

0.942588

–0.07435

0.927583

–0.10844

0.927029

–0.12026

0.945441

–0.14795

0.931428

–0.18351

0.929403

–0.06675

0.937508

–0.08947

0.938806

–0.09432

0.929001

–0.00674

0.922818

–0.11739

0.8876

–0.21352

0.909995

–0.0723

0.926397

–0.10619

0.941196

–0.07139

0.929556

–0.08084

0.922651

–0.16068

0.938794

–0.13828

0.93714

–0.05363

0.942118

–0.12662

0.931891

–0.16444

0.913972

–0.23125

0.918256

–0.05943

0.915294

–0.1222

0.928864

–0.0789

0.933432

–0.19042

0.914112

–0.23868

0.929669

–0.15178

0.940788

–0.06554

0.939297

–0.09008

0.871032

–0.19816

0.931313

–0.13966

0.93719

–0.03278

0.941814

–0.11344

0.954605

–0.10964

0.951001

–0.14088

0.936075

–0.16414

0.935092

–0.0771

0.938327

–0.08053

0.94015

–0.11889

0.927157

–0.14227

0.947037

–0.15769

0.948567

–0.18131

0.937096

–0.11303

0.933202

–0.11269

0.918021

–0.16573

0.94001

–0.17586

0.934619

–0.08668

0.93919

–0.15201

0.949847

–0.14897

0.932072

–0.18086

0.942497

–0.17047

0.940876

–0.09998

0.932754

–0.16933

0.948844

–0.13702

0.953006

–0.05943

0.927561

–0.07229

0.914419

–0.11714

0.913686

–0.02856

0.923376

–0.05662

0.923791

–0.05211

0.91685

–0.07476

0.92032

–0.11067

0.921517

–0.09972

0.921069

–0.03982

0.922228

–0.05777

0.906875

–0.12159

0.922826

–0.08086

0.923854

–0.0195

0.928138

–0.07415

0.928358

–0.07297

0.902111

–0.14601

0.914017

–0.08624

0.926024

–0.02098

0.925038

–0.08075

0.92888

–0.05644

0.932515

–0.14294

0.897431

–0.14534

0.896572

–0.17193

0.895866

–0.13484

0.898425

–0.19457

0.89342

–0.15443

0.90099

–0.18344

0.889308

–0.10175

0.95201

–0.12381

0.937344

–0.15829

0.935057

–0.03911

0.94438

–0.0608

0.945252

–0.07601

0.934781

–0.11959

0.949195

–0.14509

0.949716

–0.14267

0.941388

–0.05751

0.942671

–0.06028

0.927201

–0.1417

0.942957

–0.12433

0.940929

–0.03101

0.948394

–0.10446

0.956444

–0.12436

0.934567

–0.17593

0.942743

–0.13201

0.945296

–0.03916

0.946664

–0.1182

0.954961

–0.08846

0.959599

–0.11313

0.952655

–0.12815

0.953838

–0.15857

0.941765

–0.08127

0.940661

–0.14744

0.951927

–0.13188

0.953838

–0.13556

0.955167

–0.0463

0.927291

–0.0802

0.927743

–0.08242

0.925515

–0.01837

0.927591

–0.07194

0.929465

–0.04954

0.934233

–0.0566

0.934235

–0.15548

0.90166

–0.09251

0.954609

–0.11725

0.954832

–0.1256

0.945428

–0.03589

0.948456

–0.10775

0.956268

–0.08412

0.960299

–0.09505

0.959938

–0.12079

0.956811

–0.05093

0.934164

–0.08773

0.960475

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.