TEXT FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.D.T. FRIDAY, AUGUST 2, 1996 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics before the Joint Economic Committee UNITED STATES CONGRESS Friday, August 2, 1996 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I appreciate this opportunity to comment on the labor market data released this morning. Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 193,000 in July, somewhat below the average monthly pace of job growth in the second quarter of this year (273,000). The unemployment rate, at 5.4 percent, was about unchanged over the month. Almost half of the July increase in payroll employment occurred in retail trade, which added 89,000 jobs, and nearly half of that was in eating and drinking places. There also were substantial job gains in food stores, auto dealers and service stations, and among furniture retailers. Overall, some 331,000 jobs have been added in retail trade since employment growth in the industry began to accelerate this past April. In contrast, job growth in services was quite weak in July, with an increase of only 28,000. Employment declined in hotels and in social services. There was little job growth in health services for the second month in a row. In the preceding year, job growth in health services had been robust. The over-the-month job gain of 35,000 in business services was about equal to the average for the past year, and there was an increase of 10,000 in auto repair services. Elsewhere in the service-producing sector, employment in finance rose by 13,000 in July. As a result of sustained growth since June 1995, the finance industry has more than regained job losses during the prior 15 months that totaled nearly 100,000. Virtually all of the gains this past year have been outside of banking -- particularly among mortgage brokers, security dealers, and holding companies. Wholesale trade added 12,000 jobs in July and now has had nearly 3 years of uninterrupted job growth. Total government employment rose by 37,000. Employment in state and local education rose 66,000 after seasonal adjustment, but it should be noted that the large swings in employment associated with the school year make precise seasonal adjustment of the data for these industries somewhat difficult. Federal employment continued to decline in July. In the goods-producing sector of the economy, employment in construction rose by 25,000 in July. This continues the recent pattern of solid job growth in the industry which has yielded a net addition of more than 200,000 jobs so far this year. Manufacturing employment declined by 20,000, as small declines were widespread among component industries. Notable exceptions were fabricated metals, which added 7,000 jobs in July, and aircraft and parts, which added 5,000 jobs. Overall, manufacturing has lost 282,000 jobs since its most recent peak in March 1995, with the net loss concentrated almost entirely among nondurable goods industries. Within mining, oil and gas extraction has lost 6,000 jobs over the past 2 months, negating gains made over the first 5 months of this year. The workweek for private nonfarm workers fell four- tenths of an hour in July to 34.3 hours, largely offsetting the unusually large increase in June. The factory workweek, which had been trending upward in recent months, declined three-tenths of an hour to 41.6 hours. Average overtime in manufacturing fell to 4.4 hours. Average hourly earnings slipped 2 cents in July, following a particularly sharp increase in June. Over the past year, hourly earnings were up 2.9 percent. Moving on to the data from our household survey, the unemployment rate, as I already have noted, was essentially unchanged in July at 5.4 percent. Jobless rates for major demographic groups also showed little movement over the month. There were 4.4 million workers employed part time who would have preferred full-time work, not much different from the June level, and the number of discouraged workers was 423,000 (not seasonally adjusted), about the same as a year earlier. In summary, payroll employment rose in July, albeit somewhat less than in recent months, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 5.4 percent. My colleagues and I now would be glad to answer your questions.