FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.D.T. THURSDAY, JULY 3, 1997 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics Thursday, July 3, 1997 Good morning. I am pleased to have this opportunity to comment on the employment and unemployment data released this morning. Nonfarm payroll employment grew in June and the unemployment rate rose two-tenths of a percentage point to 5.0 percent. Payroll employment increased by 217,000 over the month; over the last twelve months employment growth has averaged 212,000 per month. Job growth in the private sector was somewhat less than in recent months. The services industry added 63,000 jobs in June, well below its average monthly gain of 116,000 through the first five months of 1997. Health services employment grew by less than half the average monthly gain over the prior five months. Employment in help supply services was about unchanged over the month; over the second quarter of 1997, the industry lost 49,000 jobs, about equal to the gain over the first quarter of the year. In contrast, computer services and engineering and management services both continued strong growth trends that go back several years. Amusement and recreation services, which had been weak through the first part of the year, has rebounded during the second quarter. In June, retail trade employment was up by 58,000 following a weak prior month. Eating and drinking places accounted for about half of the increase in retail trade, with a job gain of 28,000 for the month. Employment in this industry was flat in May and has moved erratically during the first half of 1997. Miscellaneous retail stores and food stores also exhibited strong growth in June. Job growth in wholesale trade has slowed in recent months. Elsewhere in the service-producing sector, employment in finance rose by 11,000. Employment growth in transportation and public utilities has been slower during the second quarter of the year than it had been during the first. Local governments added 78,000 workers to their payrolls in June on a seasonally adjusted basis. Although estimated employment changes in that sector have been uneven since February, net employment growth has averaged roughly the same over the past four months (about 25,000 per month) as in the first two months of this year and in all of 1996. Federal government employment continued its decline that began in June of 1992 and has now totaled more than 300,000, or 10 percent of its June 1992 level. In the goods-producing sector, factory employment edged up in June. Employment gains in manufacturing have been slow but fairly steady since last September, totaling 87,000 over that period. Most of the June increase was in durable goods, especially aircraft and parts, electronic components, and industrial machinery—all industries in which employment has been on an upward trend. In nondurables, printing and publishing was the only major industry to show any growth. The factory workweek edged down by a tenth of an hour after a similar decline in the previous month. Overtime hours also declined by one-tenth of an hour. Despite these declines, both measures remain near historical peaks. Employment in construction was virtually unchanged over the month, although its biggest component--special trade contractors--continued its upward trend. This gain was offset by a decline in heavy construction that at least partially reflected wet weather in many areas of the country. Average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers increased by four cents in June following an identical increase in May. The eight-cent rise in hourly earnings during the second quarter was somewhat lower than the increases in each of the previous four quarters. Turning to data from the household survey, the unemployment rate rose to 5.0 percent in June, up two- tenths of a percentage point from its May level. Adult men and whites were the only major demographic groups to show significant increases in over-the-month unemployment, reversing declines in May. The number of persons who were unemployed because they had lost their last job increased, largely offsetting declines in the previous two months. Total civilian employment was essentially unchanged over the month; over the first half of 1997, however, it increased by 1.2 million, and the proportion of the working-age population that is employed remains near historically high levels. In summary, payroll employment continued to grow in June. The unemployment rate rose by two-tenths of a percentage point to 5.0 percent, but remained below its year-earlier level. My colleagues and I now would be glad to respond to your questions. 4 4