FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.S.T. FRIDAY, APRIL 3, 1998 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday, April 3, 1998 Good morning. I appreciate this opportunity to comment on the employment and unemployment data that we released this morning. Nonfarm payroll employment and the unemployment rate were essentially unchanged in March. A slight decline of 36,000 in payroll employment came on the heels of a 5-month period of unusually strong growth. From October through February, an average of 345,000 jobs were added per month, a pace unmatched since 1994. The unemployment rate, at 4.7 percent in March, has been at or below 5.0 percent since last April. Average hourly earnings increased by 4 cents in March and were 4.0 percent higher than a year earlier. Looking at the industry details from our payroll survey, employment in the construction industry declined by 88,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis in March, following 4 months of very strong growth. Large numbers of construction workers normally are laid off during the November-to- February period, as colder temperatures and inclement weather curtail building activity. During the recent winter, however, fewer workers than normal were laid off because temperatures were unusually mild across much of the country, and because workers were needed for cleanup and rebuilding following severe ice storms in the Northeast and flooding and mudslides along the West Coast. With so many construction jobs already filled, early spring hiring fell short of its usual pace. In addition, the March survey period was actually much colder than normal, further dampening employment in many parts of the country. As a result, the seasonally-adjusted construction employment level declined sharply. Manufacturing employment was essentially unchanged for the second straight month, after rising by 169,000 from October to January. Most industries within manufacturing also showed little employment change over the month. The average workweek for production workers fell by 0.3 hour in March and is now half an hour shorter than its post-World War II high last reached in December. Factory overtime edged down by 0.1 hour over the month. The services industry posted a small employment gain of 45,000 in March; over the 12 months ending in February, the industry had added an average of 120,000 jobs per month. Within services, employment in help supply services fell by 16,000 in March, after a large increase of 56,000 in February. Employment in motion pictures also declined, falling by 8,000 in March. While health services added 7,000 jobs over the month, this was well below the average monthly increase of 18,000 in the prior year. In contrast, strong employment growth continued in March in computer and data processing, engineering and management, and social services. Employment in retail trade fell by 48,000 after seasonal adjustment in March. Despite this decline, there were 483,000 more retail jobs in March than a year earlier. Nearly all of the March decline occurred in eating and drinking places, where seasonal hiring was below expectations, perhaps due to the cold weather. Employment in apparel stores also fell in March, declining by 9,000 for the second straight month. Other types of retail establishments showed little or no employment change over the month. The finance industry added 19,000 jobs in March, compared with an average monthly gain of 11,000 over the prior 12 months. Low mortgage rates and a strong U.S. stock market have spurred continued employment increases in finance. Low mortgage rates also contributed to hiring in the real estate industry, which gained 7,000 jobs in March, the third straight month of increases. The communications industry added 10,000 jobs in March and has gained 44,000 since last September. Transportation employment rose by 13,000 in March, following 2 months of larger gains. Turning now to our survey of households, both the number of unemployed persons, 6.5 million, and the unemployment rate, 4.7 percent, were essentially unchanged in March. The jobless rate has been at or below 5.0 percent since last April and has been within a tenth of a percentage point of the current rate since October. Rates for all the major demographic groups showed little or no change in March. Civilian employment was essentially unchanged over the month, and the employment-population ratio, at 64.0 percent, was near its all-time high. In summary, nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged in March after rising by 1.7 million in the prior 5 months. The unemployment rate was 4.7 percent in March. My colleagues and I now will be happy to answer your questions. 1 4