FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.S.T. FRIDAY, MARCH 5, 1999 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics before the Joint Economic Committee UNITED STATES CONGRESS Friday, March 5, 1999 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: Thank you for this opportunity to discuss the February employment and unemployment estimates that the Bureau of Labor Statistics released this morning. The unemployment rate, as measured by our household survey, was essentially unchanged at 4.4 percent in February and has remained within the narrow range of 4.3 to 4.5 percent since last April. Nonfarm payroll employment, as measured by our establishment survey, rose by 275,000 in February. This increase was about in line with the average of the prior 3 months, but was well above the average for the first 10 months of 1998. Substantial employment gains in construction and retail trade contrasted with large job losses in manufacturing and mining during February. All other major industry groups experienced moderate employment increases. Construction employment rose by 72,000 in February, the result of unusually mild weather during the survey reference week and the underlying strength of the industry. Since last September, construction has gained 258,000 jobs. Employment in retail trade rose by 123,000 in February. Layoffs in general merchandise stores, apparel stores, and miscellaneous retail establishments were smaller than in a typical February. As a result, seasonally adjusted employment levels in those industries rose. Employment in eating and drinking places increased by 25,000 in February. Furniture stores and building materials and garden supply stores continued to gain jobs in February, reflecting in part the strength in construction and home sales. The services industry gained 87,000 jobs in February, compared with an average monthly increase of 110,000 over the prior 12 months. Business services added 40,000 jobs over the month. Within business services, employment in computer and data processing services rose by 13,000; over the past year, employment in the industry has increased by more than 13 percent. Engineering and management services gained 3,000 jobs in February, compared with an average monthly increase of 19,000 over the prior 12 months. Health services employment rose by 16,000 in February, boosted by home health care agencies, which added jobs for the first time since mid-1997. The transportation industry gained 14,000 jobs in February, as air transportation employment showed an unusually large increase of 11,000. Wholesale trade employment rose by 9,000 over the month, and the finance industry gained 8,000 jobs. Real estate employment was unchanged, following gains totaling 28,000 in the prior 3 months. Government employment rose by 22,000 in February, with most of the gain occurring at the local level. Federal employment declined by 5,000. Manufacturing employment fell by 50,000 in February, following smaller employment declines in the prior 2 months. Factories have lost 337,000 jobs since March 1998. Within manufacturing, employment in the apparel industry declined by 15,000 in February, continuing a long trend that has accelerated recently. Other large over-the-month job losses occurred in motor vehicles (8,000), aircraft (6,000), and fabricated metals (6,000). Employment in industrial machinery fell by 7,000, a substantial decline but still smaller than in recent months. Employment in electrical equipment declined for the eleventh consecutive month in February, but the loss of 2,000 jobs was the smallest since last June. The mining industry lost 10,000 jobs for the second straight month in February, with most of the declines occurring in oil and gas extraction. Over the past year, employment in oil and gas extraction has declined by 14 percent, reflecting low oil and gas prices. Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers in the private sector rose by 1 cent in February to $13.04. Over the past year, average hourly earnings increased by 3.6 percent. The average workweek rose 0.2 hour in February to 34.7 hours. The manufacturing workweek was unchanged at 41.6 hours, and factory overtime fell 0.1 hour to 4.5 hours. Turning now to our survey of households, the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 4.4 percent in February. The rate for adult men rose from 3.4 to 3.7 percent, while the rates for adult women, teenagers, whites, blacks, and Hispanics showed no significant changes. The civilian employment-population ratio--the proportion of the population that is employed--was 64.4 percent in February, little different from January’s record high of 64.5 percent. In summary, nonfarm employment rose and the civilian unemployment rate was essentially unchanged over the month. My colleagues and I now would be glad to answer your questions. 4 5