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Chapter 12.
Foreign Labor Statistics
Estimating
Procedures Because statistical concepts and methods vary
from country to country, international comparisons of
statistical data can be misleading. BLS attempts to
derive meaningful comparisons by selecting a conceptual
framework for comparative purposes; analyzing foreign
statistical series and selecting those which most nearly
match the desired concepts; and adjusting statistical
series, where necessary and feasible, for greater
intercountry comparability.
Labor force, employment, and unemployment
For these comparisons, BLS adjusts each country's
published data, if necessary, to provide measures
approximately consistent with U.S. definitions and
standards. Although precise comparability may not be
achieved, these adjusted data provide a better basis for
international comparisons than the data regularly
published by each country.
The foreign country data are adjusted as closely as
possible to U.S. concepts, with the exception of age
limits and the treatment of layoffs. In addition, for
some countries, no adjustment is made for deviations from
U.S. concepts in the treatment of unpaid family workers,
persons waiting to start a new job in 30 days, and
passive job seekers. However, these differences are
believed to have a negligible effect on the comparisons.
The adjusted statistics have been adapted to the age
at which compulsory schooling ends in each country,
rather than to the U.S. standard of 16 years of age and
over. Therefore, the adjusted statistics relate to the
population age 16 and over in France, Sweden, and from
l973 onward, the United Kingdom; 15 and over in Canada,
Australia, Japan, Germany, and from 1993, Italy, and from
1975, the Netherlands, and prior to l973, the United
Kingdom; and 14 and over in Italy prior to 1993, and in
1973-74 in the Netherlands.
In the U.S. labor force survey, persons on layoff who
are awaiting recall to their job are classified as
unemployed. Layoff practices in some countries are quite
different in nature from those in the United States;
therefore, strict application of the U.S. definition has
not been made on this point. (For further discussion of
these differences, see Monthly Labor Review,
December 1981, pp. 8-11.)
Under the U.S. definition, unpaid family workers who
worked fewer than 15 hours a week are excluded from the
labor force. This practice conformed to definitions
recommended by the International Labour Office until
l982, when the ILO changed its recommendation to include
all unpaid family workers regardless of the number of
hours worked. Adjustments have been made to the U.S.
definition on this point for Italy, Japan, Germany, and
the Netherlands, but not for the other countries which
follow the current ILO recommendationCanada,
Australia, France, Sweden (l987 onward), and the United
Kingdom. The available information for these countries
indicates that an adjustment for family workers would be
very small.
As of January 1994, the U.S. Current Population Survey
was redesigned. Persons waiting to start a new job within
30 days are now required to have actively sought work in
the past month to be classified as unemployed. This
departs from the ILO definitions which do not require
active search by such persons. Most other countries
follow the ILO definition on this point; no adjustment is
made for this difference, but the effect is believed to
be small.
In the United States, active job search consists of
contacting a public or private employment office to find
work; applying to employers directly; asking friends,
relatives, or trade unions about employment
opportunities; placing or answering advertisements;
seeking licenses, permits, work space or financial
resources needed to start a business. Reading
advertisements is a passive step and does not qualify as
an active job search method in the United States.
However, in Canada and the European Union countries,
reading ads is considered as an active means of job
search. In the European Union countries, the number of
persons who just read newspaper advertisements accounts
for about 5 percent of the unemployed. In Canada, the
proportion of such persons has risen from about 2-3
percent of the unemployed in the late 1970's to 7 percent
in 1993. No adjustment is made for this difference.
According to the 1992 revision of the EUROSTAT
definition of unemployment, being registered at an
employment exchange and waiting for the results of a
public examination no longer qualify as active job
search. In prior years, such persons were counted as
unemployed without any active form of job search.
However, this group was significant only in Italy, and an
adjustment was made to exclude such persons from the
unemployed in that country for comparability with U.S.
concepts. In 1992, the Italian survey was revised so that
the unemployed include only those who actively looked for
work in the past 30 days. Therefore, an adjustment is no
longer necessary.
The statistics for 6 of the 10 countries regularly
studiedthe United States, Canada, Australia, Japan,
Italy, and Swedenare obtained from monthly or
quarterly household surveys. No adjustments are made to
the published data for Canada and Australia because their
concepts and methods are virtually identical to those of
the United States. Slight adjustments are made to the
data for Japan and, since 1992, Italy. Prior to Italy's
1992 revision, larger adjustments were made for Italy.
Beginning with 1987, BLS has adjusted the Swedish data to
include students who also sought work as being
unemployed.
Current unemployment measures for three of the other
four countries studiedFrance, Germany, and the
United Kingdomare derived from monthly
administrative data on the number of registrants at
public employment offices. These countries also conduct
periodic household surveys of the labor force which
contain benchmark data that are used to adjust the levels
of the labor force, employment, and unemployment for
greater comparability with U.S. concepts.
Measures of current labor force, employment, and
unemployment are obtained by applying adjustment factors
from the most recent year's labor force surveys to
published data. The United Kingdom conducts a monthly
survey; however, because of the small sample size, data
are only published on a quarterly basis. France and
Germany conduct annual surveys. There has been a change
in the benchmark surveys used for both France and
Germany. In 1983, BLS replaced the German labor force
survey results tabulated by the national statistical
office with those tabulated by EUROSTAT. A similar change
was made in the benchmark survey for France beginning
with 1992.
BLS makes only annual estimates of unemployment rates
for the Netherlands. No monthly or quarterly estimates
are currently made because of the lack of reliable
quarterly employment data. Prior to 1983, annual
adjustments are based on the results of the Dutch
biennial labor force survey, with adjustment factors
interpolated between surveys. From 1983 onward, the
adjustments are made on the basis of EUROSTAT tabulations
of the Dutch labor force survey.
Output per hour and labor costs
Indexes of manufacturing labor productivity (output per
hour), hourly compensation, and unit labor costs are
constructed from three basic aggregate measures: Output,
total labor hours, and total compensation. The hours and
compensation measures relate to all employees (wage and
salary workers) in Belgium, Denmark, Italy, the
Netherlands, and the United Kingdom and to all employed
persons (employees plus the self-employed and unpaid
family workers) in the United States, Canada, Japan,
France, Germany, Norway, and Sweden. Hours refer to hours
worked in all countries.
The measures generally relate to total manufacturing
as defined by the International Standard Industrial
Classification. However, the measures for France (for all
years) and for Italy (beginning 1970) refer to mining and
manufacturing less energy-related products; the measures
for Denmark include mining and exclude manufacturing
handicrafts prior to 1966; and the measures for the
Netherlands exclude petroleum refining and include coal
mining from 1969 to 1977.
In general, the output measures for most of the
economies are value-added in manufacturing in constant
prices from the national accounts of each country.
However, output for Japan prior to 1970 and the
Netherlands prior to 1960 and from 1969 to 1977 are
indexes of industrial production. The national accounts
measures for the United Kingdom are essentially identical
to their indexes of industrial production.
The U.S. manufacturing value-added series used for the
comparative measures is based on a fixed-price-weight
scheme in which the price weights have not changed over
the entire period covered. The Japanese value-added
series is based upon one set of fixed price weights for
the years from 1970 forward. Output series for the other
foreign economies also employ fixed price weights, but
the weights are updated periodically (for example, every
5 or 10 years). The only exception is the output series
for Norway for the years 1987 forward, in which a given
year's output is weighted with the preceding year's
prices.
While methods of deriving national accounts measures
of manufacturing output differ from country to country,
BLS has reviewed these methods and determined that the
series are sufficiently comparable for measuring trends
in productivity and unit labor costs.
The U.S. manufacturing output series used for the
comparative measures differs in two key ways from the
U.S. manufacturing output series BLS publishes with its
quarterly measures of productivity and costs for the
business sector and major subsectors of the U.S. economy
(see Chapter 10). First,
the quarterly U.S. manufacturing output series is on a
"sectoral" output basis rather than a
value-added basis. Sectoral output is gross output less
intra-sector transactions. Second, the series published
with the quarterly U.S. data is based on changing price
weights rather than fixed weights.
To preserve the comparability of the U.S. measures
with those for other economies, BLS uses the value-added
concept in manufacturing for the United States in this
comparative data set. A review of the preferred output
concept for international comparative measures, as well
as of the availability of data for producing alternative
output series, is underway.
The total hours measures are developed from statistics
of manufacturing employment and average hours. The series
used for France (from 1970 forward), Norway, and Sweden
are official series published with the national accounts.
Where official total hours series are not available, the
measures are developed by BLS using employment figures
published with the national accounts, or other
comprehensive employment series from national statistical
agencies, and estimates of annual hours worked. For
Germany, BLS uses estimates of average hours worked
developed by a research institute connected with the
Ministry of Labor for use with the national accounts
employment data. For the other countries, BLS constructs
its own estimates of average hours.
For the Republic of Korea and Taiwan, BLS currently
publishes only measures of unit labor costs and its
componentsoutput and total compensation. Total
hours, and consequently productivity, are not computed
for Korea and Taiwan because BLS has not yet developed
adequate employment series for these economies.
The compensation (labor cost) measures are from the
national accounts, except those for Belgium, which are
developed by BLS using statistics on employment, average
hours, and hourly compensation. Compensation includes all
payments in cash or kind made directly to employees, plus
employer expenditures for legally required insurance
programs and contractual and private benefit plans. In
addition, for France and Sweden, compensation is
increased to account for other significant taxes on
payrolls or employment, even if they are not for the
direct benefit of workers, because such taxes are
regarded as labor costs. Similarly, for the United
Kingdom, compensation is reduced from 1967 to 1991 to
reflect employment-related subsidies. Compensation does
not include all items of labor cost, however. The costs
of recruitment, employee training, and plant facilities
and servicessuch as cafeterias and medical
clinicsare not covered because data are not
available for most countries. Compensation for
self-employed workers is calculated by assuming that
their hourly compensation is equal to the average for
wage and salary employees.
For all countries, the measures for recent years may
be based on current indicators of manufacturing output,
employment, average hours, and hourly compensation, until
national accounts and other statistics used for the
long-term measures become available.
To account for the differences in the relative
importance of each of the foreign economies to U.S. trade
in manufactured products, BLS constructs relative
trade-weighted measures of productivity and unit labor
costs. The trade weights for Canada, Japan, and the
European countries are obtained by rescaling a series of
weights developed by the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) based on average trade flows over the 1989-91
period. The IMF weights are based on aggregate trade data
for total manufacturing and take account of both
bilateral trade and the relative importance of
"third country" markets. The IMF weights for
1989-91 do not include Korea and Taiwan. Weights for
Korea and Taiwan are developed by BLS using data from an
earlier IMF study and other sources. Two summary measures
are constructed: "Competitors" indexes, which
are the trade-weighted geometric averages of the indexes
for the foreign economies, and relative indexes, which
are the ratios of the U.S. indexes to the
"competitors" indexes.
Multifactor productivity
Comparative indexes of manufacturing multifactor
productivity (output per unit of combined labor and
capital inputs) for the United States, France, and
Germany are prepared using the basic concepts and methods
that are used by BLS to develop multifactor productivity
measures for the business sector and major subsectors of
the U.S. economy, including manufacturing, and for
selected U.S. industries. The major exception is that the
comparative series measure output according to a
value-added approach for manufacturing rather than the
sectoral output approach used for the indexes of U.S.
manufacturing multifactor productivity that BLS publishes
as part of its productivity measures for the business
sector and major subsectors (see Chapter 10).
Sectoral output is gross output less intra-sector
transactions.
Real value added in manufacturing is the output
concept for each of the three countries. However, the
base years for prices used to measure real output and the
frequency and methods of changing price weights are
different among the three countries.
Labor input is defined as total hours worked by all
persons active in the manufacturing sector. This includes
the self-employed and unpaid family workers as well as
employees (wage and salary workers). Labor input is not
distinguished by categories such as experience, age, or
gender, and no quality differentiation is assumed. The
labor input data are the same as those used in the
international comparisons of output per hour computed by
BLS.
Labor compensation is used to calculate labor's share
in total value added. This includes direct payments
(wages and salaries, paid vacations, bonuses, payments in
kind) and indirect payments (employer contributions to
social insurance, health, and pension benefits). The data
on employee compensation are from national accounts
sources. The compensation of self-employed persons is
estimated by assuming that the hourly compensation costs
of the self-employed are the same as for employees.
Capital's share in total value added is the residual
between nominal value added and labor's share.
Capital inputs to the production process are defined
as the value of services per year from stocks of
productive capital assets. Capital services are assumed
to be proportional to the capital stock. The capital
stock levels of depreciable fixed assets are estimated by
applying the perpetual inventory method, which consists
of cumulating past investments in each type of asset,
while making due allowances for the decline in efficiency
that accompanied the aging of assets, which ultimately
are scrapped.
For the United States, investment data are available
for 25 types of capital assets for each of 20
manufacturing industries. Investment data by asset type
and by industry are obtained from the Bureau of Economic
Analysis (BEA) of the U.S. Department of Commerce. The
capital input series for U.S. manufacturing is a
summation of the real aggregate capital input values
across all manufacturing industries.
For Germany and France, capital estimates are
available for only four asset categories: equipment,
structures, inventories, and land. Investment series for
equipment and structures in German manufacturing, and for
inventory levels, are provided by national accounts
statistics. For France, the published national accounts
provide only total fixed investments in manufacturing.
The breakdown into equipment and structures was provided
by the French statistical institute, INSEE. French
manufacturing inventories are estimated from annual
changes in inventories. None of the three countries being
compared publishes data for land used in manufacturing.
In all three cases, the value of land is estimated by
applying a land/structures ratio to the estimated stock
of structures.
Hourly compensation costs
Measures of hourly compensation costs are prepared by BLS
in order to provide a better basis for assessing
international differences in employer labor costs.
Comparisons based on the more readily available average
earnings statistics published by many countries can be
very misleading. National definitions of average earnings
differ considerably, average earnings do not include all
items of labor compensation, and the omitted items of
compensation frequently represent a large proportion of
total compensation.
Hourly compensation is defined as (1) all payments
made directly to the workerpay for time worked
(basic time and piece rates plus overtime premiums, shift
differentials, other premiums and bonuses paid regularly
each pay period, and cost-of-living adjustments), pay for
time not worked (vacations, holidays, and other leave,
except sick leave), seasonal or irregular bonuses and
other special payments, selected social allowances, and
the cost of payments in kindbefore payroll
deductions of any kind, and (2) employer expenditures for
legally required insurance programs and contractual and
private benefit plans (retirement and disability
pensions, health insurance, income guarantee insurance
and sick leave, life and accident insurance, occupational
injury and illness compensation, unemployment insurance,
and family allowances). In addition, for some countries,
compensation is adjusted for other taxes on payrolls or
employment (or reduced to reflect subsidies), even if
they do not finance programs that directly benefit
workers, because such taxes are regarded as labor costs.
For consistency, compensation is measured on an
hours-worked basis for every country.
The BLS definition of hourly compensation costs is not
the same as the International Labour Office definition of
total labor costs. Hourly compensation costs do not
include all items of labor costs. The costs of
recruitment, employee training, and plant facilities and
servicessuch as cafeterias and medical
clinicsare not included because data are not
available for most countries. The labor costs not
included account for no more than 4 percent of total
labor costs in any country for which the data are
available.
The total compensation measures are computed by
adjusting each country's average earnings series for
items of direct pay not included in earnings and for
employer expenditures for legally required insurance,
contractual and private benefit plans, and other labor
taxes or subsidies. For the United States and other
countries that measure earnings on an hours-paid basis,
the figures are also adjusted in order to approximate
compensation or pay per hour worked.
Earnings statistics are obtained from establishment
surveys of employment, hours, and earnings for most
countries. They are obtained from surveys or censuses of
manufactures for seven countriesMexico, India,
Israel, Pakistan, Austria, Denmark, and Portugal. The
surveys of employment, hours, and earnings are stratified
sample surveys for most countries (except they are full
surveys of establishments covered for Finland,
Luxembourg, and Norway and a judgment sample for
Switzerland). The surveys of manufactures are
establishment stratified sample surveys of industrial
production and other industrial statistics, including
labor input and labor cost. Censuses are complete
enumerations of establishments.
Adjustment factors are obtained from periodic labor
cost surveys and interpolated or projected to nonsurvey
years on the basis of other available information for
most countries. The labor cost surveys are establishment
stratified sample surveys (full surveys for Ireland,
Italy, and Luxembourg). The information used to
interpolate or project the adjustment factors to
non-labor-cost-survey years includes annual tabulations
on employer social security contribution rates provided
by the International Studies Staff of the U.S. Social
Security Administration, information on contractual and
legislated fringe benefit changes from ILO and national
labor bulletins, and statistical series on indirect labor
costs. The adjustment factors are obtained from the
surveys of manufactures for Mexico and Portugal, and from
reports on fringe benefit systems and social security for
Hong Kong, Israel, New Zealand, Pakistan, Singapore, and
Sri Lanka. For the United States, the adjustment factors
are special calculations for international comparisons
based on data from several surveys.
The statistics are also adjusted, where necessary, to
account for major differences in worker coverage;
differences in industrial classification systems; and
changes over time in survey coverage, sample benchmarks,
or frequency of surveys. Nevertheless, some differences
in industrial coverage remain and, with the exception of
the United States, Canada, and several other countries,
the data exclude very small establishments (fewer than 5
employees in Japan and fewer than 10 employees in most
European and some other countries).
Special estimation procedures have been used for some
countries because of incomplete data. Hourly earnings are
computed from daily or monthly earnings using estimates
of standard hours worked for India, Israel, and Pakistan.
Earnings for production workers are estimated from
all-employee earnings for Japan (1990 to present), Korea
(1975-84), New Zealand (all years), and Israel (1978 to
present). For Singapore, hourly compensation costs are
estimated for the years since 1985 using the trend in
average weekly earnings and benefit costs of production
workers or average compensation per employee from the
national accounts. For Italy, both hourly earnings and
additional compensation adjustment factors are obtained
from periodic labor cost surveys and interpolated or
projected to nonsurvey years using the trend in
contractual wage rates and in benefit entitlements and
costs. The adjustment factors for additional compensation
relate to all employees for Mexico, Japan, Korea, Taiwan,
France, Ireland, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, and
the United Kingdom; they are constants or the midpoints
of constant ranges for Hong Kong, India, Israel, New
Zealand, and Pakistan.
Hourly compensation costs are converted to U.S.
dollars using the average daily exchange rate for the
reference period. Changes in hourly compensation in U.S.
dollars from one period to another are therefore affected
by changes in currency exchange rates as well as by
changes in compensation. The exchange rates used are
prevailing commercial market exchange rates as published
by either the U.S. Federal Reserve Board or the
International Monetary Fund.
The trade weights used to compute the average
compensation cost measures for all foreign economies and
selected regional or economic groups are the sum of U.S.
imports of manufactured products for consumption (customs
value) and U.S. exports of domestic manufactured products
(free along side (f.a.s.) value) in 1992 for each country
or area and each country group. The trade data used to
compute the weights are U.S. Bureau of Census statistics
of U.S. imports and exports converted to an industrial
classification basis from data initially collected under
the Harmonized Tariff Schedule commodity
classification system. Descriptions of the trade weights
and trade weighted measures were published in International
Comparisons of Hourly Compensation Costs for Production
Workers in Manufacturing, 1975-87, BLS Report 754
(August 1988) and in International Comparisons of
Hourly Compensation Costs for Production Workers in
Manufacturing, 1993, BLS Report 873 (June 1994).
The family
The regularly published statistics on marriage and
divorce rates for each country have been adjusted to a
common denominator. Thus, marriage rates are expressed as
marriages per l,000 population ages 15 to 64; divorce
rates are expressed as divorces per 1,000 married women.
Births to unmarried women are shown as a percent of all
live births.
Concepts and definitions relating to household
composition differ among countries, and adjustments have
been made, where possible, for conformity with U.S.
standards. In some instances, foreign statistical offices
have retabulated their data on U.S. definitions. National
definitions of households with children vary considerably
because of differences in the age limits defining a
child. In the United States, children are defined as all
those under the age of 18; in the other countries, age
limits for children vary from all those 16 and under to
no upper age limit at all. Adjustment of the foreign
country data to the U.S. age limit has been possible in
most cases for selected years.
Real gross domestic product per capita and per
employed person
BLS measures of comparative levels and trends of real
gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and per employed
person are based on benchmark levels of GDP extrapolated
to other years on the basis of relative changes in real
GDP as measured by each country, and on annual population
and employment estimates.
The GDP level comparisons for all countries except
Korea are based on benchmark purchasing power parities
produced jointly by the OECD and EUROSTAT as part of the
United Nations International Comparison Project (UNICP).
The GDP level comparison for Korea is based also on a set
of PPP's from the UNICP benchmark PPP's. The PPP's in
this set cover many more countries than do the OECD and
EUROSTAT, but generally are not available for the latest
OECD/EUROSTAT benchmark year. Therefore, the earlier
benchmark PPP for Korea is extrapolated forward to the
benchmark year used by the OECD/EUROSTAT countries using
the trend in the Korean implicit price deflator for GDP
relative to the corresponding U.S. GDP deflator.
The benchmark figures are derived by comparing
relative prices at detailed levels of expenditure (PPP's
by item of expenditure) and aggregating these price
relatives to derive overall PPP exchange rates for total
GDP. Volume measures of GDP are calculated using the
PPP's and then modified by BLS, where applicable, to
account for subsequent revisions by countries to their
national accounts. BLS also constructs PPP's for GDP for
all nonbenchmark years by applying trends relative to the
United States in implicit price deflators for GDP, as
measured by each country, to the benchmark PPP's.
The benchmark PPP's for GDP are affected by the
aggregation method used to weight and sum the
commodity-group parities to arrive at PPP's for each
category of expenditure up to the level of GDP. The
benchmark results for 1985 and earlier years were
aggregated using the Geary-Khamis (GK) method. Beginning
with the 1990 benchmark, the OECD and EUROSTAT have
initially released results based on the
Elteto-Köves-Szulc (EKS) aggregation method. Results
aggregated using the GK method for the same benchmark
year are then published at a later time. BLS prepares
comparisons of real GDP per capita and per employed
person using PPP's based on these alternative aggregation
methods.
The benchmark studies have produced PPP's which
diverge from the PPP's based on earlier benchmark years
extrapolated forward to the new benchmark year using
relative trends in each country's implicit price
deflator. Therefore, BLS prepares alternative comparisons
of real GDP per capita and per employed person based on
PPP's for several different benchmark years.
Consumer prices and other measures
No adjustments are made to the overall consumer price
indexes as published by each country except to convert
them to a uniform base year.
Union membership statistics published by each country
differ in sources, reporting techniques, definitions, and
coverage. U.S. data are derived from the Current
Population Survey (CPS) from l983 onward, with some CPS
data also available for 1 month in a few earlier years.
For l980 and earlier, U.S. data were derived directly
from labor unions, via a biennial questionnaire. Other
countries generally derive their union membership time
series data from union reports rather than household
surveys.
To enhance international comparisons, the reported
union membership data for the European countries are
adjusted to the CPS concept of coverage for selected
years. This concept covers union members who are employed
wage and salary workers. Thus, members who are retired,
unemployed, or self-employed are excluded. For Australia
and Canada, union membership data for selected recent
years are taken directly from household surveys. No
adjustments are made to the reported union membership
data for Japan because they include very few nonwage and
salary workers.
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